Trump, Cruz Tied Among Evangelical VotersApril 07, 2016
Throughout this crazy presidential campaign, the main religion story continues to be how Republican frontrunner Donald Trump wins evangelicals despite his image as a vulgar, thrice-married casino magnate. However, the story's more complex than often told. As I noted in EthicsDaily.com articles last month, Trump performs poorly among evangelicals who actually attend church frequently and performs poorly among evangelicals in the Midwest.
My latest EthicsDaily.com takes a deep dive into the voting data and discovers something important: Trump's not actually winning among evangelicals anymore. For the article, Trump, Cruz Tied Among Evangelical Voters, I extrapolated exit poll data to the total raw votes and found Trump and Cruz statically tied among evangelicals in the 21 states with exit polls. Additionally, Cruz has a slight advantage in the 11 states without exit polls. Thus, it's clearly inaccurate to claim Trump is winning evangelicals.
The article also includes the map I created of where Trump has won (red) evangelicals and where he has lost (blue). I hope the article will help end a continuing media myth about evangelical voters.